Hereford FC 2-2 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.59 — our 27% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.47/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.43
-5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Buxton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
21.01.2023 Buxton Buxton 0-1 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
20.08.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC and Buxton shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hereford FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hereford FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hereford FC and 0.67 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Buxton?

Hereford FC 2-2 Buxton in the England - Conference on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 44%, draw 24%, Buxton 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hereford FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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