Kings Lynn Town 3-4 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 33% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.03/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.52
-28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kings Lynn Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
04.03.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 3-2 HT 2-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
08.11.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 3-3 HT 2-1 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
POST-MATCH Kings Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scarborough Athletic nicked a narrow win over Kings Lynn Town 4-3 away from home. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kings Lynn Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kings Lynn Town and 2.33 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Kings Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic?

Kings Lynn Town 3-4 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kings Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kings Lynn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kings Lynn Town 42%, draw 31%, Scarborough Athletic 27%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kings Lynn Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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