Hamilton 1-3 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 18 Oct 2024

Hamilton
1-3 HT 0-3
Falkirk
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Hamilton vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
19%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 29% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.85
1/2
8%
21.2
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
9%
10.7
X/2
20%
3.95
X/X
12%
5.94
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
1.99
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamilton v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
0.85/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.58
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +41%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
191 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
1.0 Crosses 4.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Hamilton vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Falkirk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 3-2 HT 3-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
16.12.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-3 HT 1-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
07.10.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
17.07.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
18.05.2014 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
13.05.2014 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk got the better of Hamilton 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hamilton and 1.33 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Falkirk?

Hamilton 1-3 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 26%, draw 27%, Falkirk 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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