FC Bari 1908 1-1 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.35
X/1
18%
4.34
X/2
7%
7.86
X/X
11%
4.06
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
14%
6.25
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.17/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.42
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.1 Crosses 11.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
408 Passes 350
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
24.09.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.03.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
30.10.2021 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 2-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
21.03.2021 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
29.11.2020 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Catanzaro
1.91 xG 0.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
308 Passes 438
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
23 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Catanzaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bari 1908 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 43% of the ball to Catanzaro's 57%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.91 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.33 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Catanzaro?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 45%, draw 28%, Catanzaro 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Bari 1908), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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