Waldhof Mannheim 3-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 Oct 2024

Waldhof Mannheim
3-0 HT 1-0
Erzgebirge Aue
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Waldhof Mannheim vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.13
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.08
X/2
8%
6.28
X/X
13%
5.01
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
17%
4.2
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waldhof Mannheim v Erzgebirge Aue — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.58/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.71
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.3 Crosses 10.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Waldhof Mannheim vs Erzgebirge Aue Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
16.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-0 HT 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
10.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
10.08.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3

Waldhof Mannheim 3-0 Erzgebirge Aue — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
3-0
AWAY Erzgebirge Aue
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 3
240 Passes 460
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs Erzgebirge Aue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim ran out comfortable winners over Erzgebirge Aue 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Waldhof Mannheim found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 37% of the ball to Erzgebirge Aue's 63%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.00 for Erzgebirge Aue.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Waldhof Mannheim 3-0 Erzgebirge Aue in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs Erzgebirge Aue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 40%, draw 28%, Erzgebirge Aue 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →