Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.36/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.58
-16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
Crosses 11.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-0 HT 2-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
10.02.2023 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
10.08.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
2-0
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erzgebirge Aue vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzgebirge Aue saw off Waldhof Mannheim 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Erzgebirge Aue as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 51% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 49%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Waldhof Mannheim led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.67 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 45%, draw 26%, Waldhof Mannheim 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) ✗ BTTS Yes
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