Ulm 1846 4-2 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.5pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
2.10/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.55
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Verl
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.12.2023 Verl Verl 0-3 HT 0-2 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
4-2
AWAY Verl
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 beat Verl 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ulm 1846 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 36% of the ball to Verl's 64%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Verl?

Ulm 1846 4-2 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 46%, draw 26%, Verl 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulm 1846) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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