Jahn Regensburg 0-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.37/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.51
-15% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 5.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Saarbrücken
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.09 xG 1.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
266 Passes 257
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-2 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
11.08.2019 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-2 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AFK
01.03.2014 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-2 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
07.09.2013 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
24.03.2012 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
01.10.2011 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 4-1 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken edged past Jahn Regensburg 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Saarbrücken made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 50% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 50%, shots finished 19-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 1.67 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Saarbrücken?

Jahn Regensburg 0-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 39%, draw 26%, Saarbrücken 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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