Freiburg II 1-0 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.9pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
1.04/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.40
-32% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
27.02.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-3 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
20.08.2022 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
04.02.2022 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
28.08.2021 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 3-1 HT 1-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg II
1-0
AWAY Viktoria Köln
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II squeezed past Viktoria Köln 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Köln at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Freiburg II had 61% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 39%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Freiburg II and 1.20 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Viktoria Köln?

Freiburg II 1-0 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 32%, draw 26%, Viktoria Köln 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Köln)
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