Sandhausen 1-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.6pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.13/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.04
+53% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
284 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 0.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
245 Passes 282
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 4-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
13.02.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
27.08.2021 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-2 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
31.03.2019 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-2 HT 1-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
19.10.2018 Sandhausen Sandhausen 4-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
23.01.2018 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
1-1
AWAY Ingolstadt
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen and Ingolstadt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandhausen had 38% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 62%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sandhausen and 1.17 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Ingolstadt?

Sandhausen 1-1 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 34%, draw 28%, Ingolstadt 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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