1860 München 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.18
Over 2.5
41%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.55
No
55%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
42%
+16.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
58%
-16.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.4pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.64/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.87
+17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 Passes 265
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 HT 2-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
17.01.2019 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München HAZ
03.02.2017 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 HT 2-1 1860 München 1860 München AL2
14.08.2016 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
20.03.2016 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
02.10.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
0-2
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld saw off 1860 München 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Arminia Bielefeld found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, 1860 München had 51% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 49%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for 1860 München and 1.33 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Arminia Bielefeld?

1860 München 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 35%, draw 26%, Arminia Bielefeld 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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