La Louvière 2-0 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.95
Over
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No Pick
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.58
2-3
35%
1.8
4-5
20%
3.36
6+
14%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.58 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 31%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.57/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.02
-68% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.6 Crosses 20.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
2-0
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière saw off Waasland-Beveren 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had La Louvière as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, La Louvière had 44% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 56%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Waasland-Beveren?

La Louvière 2-0 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 48%, draw 25%, Waasland-Beveren 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Louvière), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Louvière) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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