Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boussu Dour Borinage v RFC Liege — Team-Based Signals
Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Boussu Dour Borinage
BEL2
Boussu Dour Borinage 1-2 RFC Liege — Actual Match Statistics
RFC Liege edged past Boussu Dour Borinage 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; RFC Liege found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 74% of the ball to RFC Liege's 26%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 1.72 to 0.41 — on chances, Boussu Dour Borinage could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, RFC Liege led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boussu Dour Borinage and 1.50 for RFC Liege.
What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege?
Boussu Dour Borinage 1-2 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Liege?
Before kick-off our model rated an RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 38%, draw 22%, RFC Liege 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Liege) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.