America Mineiro 2-2 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.45/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
+13% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
21.8 Crosses 17.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Goias
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
412 Passes 266
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2024 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
07.12.2023 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
13.08.2023 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
27.10.2022 Goias Goias 2-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
04.07.2022 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
19.08.2017 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 1-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
2-2
AWAY Goias
1.75 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
412 Passes 301
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro and Goias shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was America Mineiro at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America Mineiro had 56% of the ball to Goias's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.75 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for America Mineiro and 1.17 for Goias.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Goias?

America Mineiro 2-2 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 47%, draw 32%, Goias 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →