Botev Vratsa 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

Botev Vratsa
0-0 HT 0-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
23%
2.88
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
31%
-7.7pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botev Vratsa v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/2.28
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -56%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
The Meetings
31.07.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa and Lokomotiv Plovdiv played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Botev Vratsa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Botev Vratsa 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 41%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botev Vratsa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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