PFC Beroe 3-0 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.1pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.63/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.36
-42% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Varna
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
09.04.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-4 HT 0-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
3-0
AWAY Spartak Varna
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe cruised past Spartak Varna 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 36% / 29% — and on the day PFC Beroe made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 54% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 46%, shots finished 16-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for PFC Beroe and 0.50 for Spartak Varna.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Spartak Varna?

PFC Beroe 3-0 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 35%, draw 36%, Spartak Varna 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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