Cumbaya 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 18 Oct 2024

Cumbaya
1-1 HT 1-1
Uni. Catolica
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Cumbaya vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
2.0
Over
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
19%
Home Win
11%
+8.0pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.2pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cumbaya v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cumbaya The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica The Market 75%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.59/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.60/0.81
-24% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -40%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
10.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
11.4 Crosses 19.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.9

Cumbaya vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cumbaya
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.41 xG 1.03
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
221 Passes 405
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
11.11.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
04.06.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
08.10.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.05.2022 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1

Cumbaya 1-1 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cumbaya
1-1
AWAY Uni. Catolica
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Cumbaya vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cumbaya and Uni. Catolica shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Uni. Catolica carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cumbaya had 37% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 63%, shots finished 9-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Cumbaya and 1.00 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Cumbaya vs Uni. Catolica?

Cumbaya 1-1 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cumbaya vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cumbaya 19%, draw 26%, Uni. Catolica 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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