Uni. Catolica 2-1 Cumbaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 27 Apr 2024

Uni. Catolica
2-1 HT 1-0
Cumbaya
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs Cumbaya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.7pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Cumbaya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.67/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.43
-2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +8%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
471 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 75%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
21.6 Crosses 10.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Uni. Catolica vs Cumbaya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Cumbaya
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.90 xG 0.24
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
396 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
04.06.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
08.10.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.05.2022 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1

Uni. Catolica 2-1 Cumbaya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-1
AWAY Cumbaya
1.57 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
441 Passes 313
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Cumbaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica edged past Cumbaya 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 57% of the ball to Cumbaya's 43%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.57 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Uni. Catolica and 0.00 for Cumbaya.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Cumbaya?

Uni. Catolica 2-1 Cumbaya in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Cumbaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 63%, draw 22%, Cumbaya 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ BTTS No
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