Monaco vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monaco v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Monaco vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Monaco
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Lille
FR1
4-3
HT 2-2
Monaco
FR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Monaco
FR1
2-2
HT 1-2
Lille
FR1
Monaco 0-0 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco and Lille played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Monaco at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Monaco had 52% of the ball to Lille's 48%, shots finished 14-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monaco and 1.50 for Lille.
What was the final score of Monaco vs Lille?
Monaco 0-0 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monaco vs Lille?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monaco 44%, draw 26%, Lille 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.