Monaco vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monaco v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Monaco vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Monaco
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Lille
FR1
4-3
HT 2-2
Monaco
FR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Monaco
FR1
2-2
HT 1-2
Lille
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Lille
FR1
Monaco 1-0 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco edged past Lille 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Monaco had 43% of the ball to Lille's 57%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.59 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monaco and 1.50 for Lille.
What was the final score of Monaco vs Lille?
Monaco 1-0 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monaco vs Lille?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monaco 41%, draw 28%, Lille 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.