Lorient 1-4 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 24 Apr 2024

Lorient
1-4 HT 0-2
PSG
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Lorient vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.53
2-3 Goals
34%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.65
6+ Goals
15%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
9.48
1/2
7%
19.7
1/X
9%
17.5
X/1
7%
13.6
X/2
19%
3.82
X/X
10%
7.31
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.72
2/X
4%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lorient v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 69%
+10% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.07/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.33
+42% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 491 · 85%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
12.4 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lorient vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PSG
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.35 xG 1.83
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 Passes 644
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 PSG PSG 0-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
30.04.2023 PSG PSG 1-3 HT 1-2 Lorient Lorient FR1
06.11.2022 Lorient Lorient 1-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
03.04.2022 PSG PSG 5-1 HT 2-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
22.12.2021 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
31.01.2021 Lorient Lorient 3-2 HT 1-1 PSG PSG FR1

Lorient 1-4 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
1-4
AWAY PSG
0.91 xG 1.58
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
383 Passes 617
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lorient vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG cruised past Lorient 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lorient had 41% of the ball to PSG's 59%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.91 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lorient and 1.83 for PSG.

What was the final score of Lorient vs PSG?

Lorient 1-4 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lorient 26%, draw 23%, PSG 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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