Marsilya vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marsilya v Nice — Team-Based Signals
Marsilya vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Marsilya
FR1
1-3
HT 0-2
Nice
FR1
0-3
HT 0-3
Marsilya
FR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Nice
FR1
4-1
HT 2-1
Marsilya
FRK
1-1
HT 1-1
Marsilya
FR1
Marsilya 2-2 Nice — Actual Match Statistics
Marsilya and Nice shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Marsilya at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Marsilya had 48% of the ball to Nice's 52%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.24 to 1.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marsilya and 1.67 for Nice.
What was the final score of Marsilya vs Nice?
Marsilya 2-2 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marsilya vs Nice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 43%, draw 29%, Nice 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.