Le Havre (K) 0-1 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.5pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.9pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.94/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/1.19
+150% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
14.0 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.01 xG 1.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) 3-3 HT 0-1 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
15.12.2023 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1
POST-MATCH Le Havre (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier (K) squeezed past Le Havre (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (41% / 19% / 40%) promised a tight game; Montpellier (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Le Havre (K) and 2.50 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of Le Havre (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Le Havre (K) 0-1 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Le Havre (K) 41%, draw 19%, Montpellier (K) 40%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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