Gwangju 1-1 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Oct 2024

Gwangju
1-1 HT 0-0
Daegu
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gwangju vs Daegu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 33% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
20%
4.4
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
7.31
X/X
11%
4.4
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
9%
5.62
2/X
6%
14.05
Value flag · X/2 at 7.31 — our 17% vs market 9.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gwangju v Daegu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 29%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.42/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.22
-75% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.6 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Gwangju vs Daegu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Daegu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
502 Passes 255
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
11.05.2024 Daegu Daegu 3-2 HT 2-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
31.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
11.11.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
15.07.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
13.05.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK

Gwangju 1-1 Daegu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
1-1
AWAY Daegu
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
374 Passes 247
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju and Daegu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gwangju at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Gwangju had 57% of the ball to Daegu's 43%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gwangju and 1.50 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Daegu?

Gwangju 1-1 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 43%, draw 24%, Daegu 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gwangju), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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