Daegu 0-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Jul 2024

Daegu
0-1 HT 0-1
Gwangju
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Daegu vs Gwangju Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.95
Over 2.5
39%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.63
No
58%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 36% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.7
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.67
X/2
16%
5.58
X/X
15%
4.74
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
9%
3.63
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
57%
-15.0pp
58%
BTTS No
43%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Daegu v Gwangju — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.12
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Daegu vs Gwangju Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gwangju
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 Passes 505
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Daegu Daegu 3-2 HT 2-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
31.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
11.11.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
15.07.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
13.05.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
16.04.2023 Daegu Daegu 3-4 HT 0-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK

Daegu 0-1 Gwangju — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
0-1
AWAY Gwangju
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
399 Passes 361
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju squeezed past Daegu 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gwangju found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Daegu had 49% of the ball to Gwangju's 51%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Daegu and 1.50 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Gwangju?

Daegu 0-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daegu 38%, draw 30%, Gwangju 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Daegu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
21 Jul 2024
13:00 FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu Analysis →
13:00 Incheon United vs Suwon City Analysis →
13:00 Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers Analysis →