Daejeon Citizen 1-2 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
18.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.96 — our 24% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.37
1/2 EV+ ✓
10%
26.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
15%
6.99
X/2
17%
4.44
X/X
13%
4.38
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.85
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.47/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/2.04
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +98% / -38%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
359 Passes 423
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
07.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
20.08.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 4-3 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
13.05.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
11.03.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
23.09.2015 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-2
AWAY Pohang Steelers
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
467 Passes 409
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers edged past Daejeon Citizen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 52% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 48%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.83 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?

Daejeon Citizen 1-2 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 32%, draw 25%, Pohang Steelers 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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