Pohang Steelers 1-1 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 15 Jun 2024

Pohang Steelers
1-1 HT 1-1
Daejeon Citizen
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
7%
4.01
X/2
15%
8.83
X/X
10%
4.86
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
8%
6.94
2/X
10%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pohang Steelers v Daejeon Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.31/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.87
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.9 Crosses 11.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
392 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
20.08.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 4-3 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
13.05.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
11.03.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
23.09.2015 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
30.05.2015 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR

Pohang Steelers 1-1 Daejeon Citizen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-1
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
544 Passes 374
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers and Daejeon Citizen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Pohang Steelers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 59% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 41%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen?

Pohang Steelers 1-1 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 46%, draw 25%, Daejeon Citizen 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
15 Jun 2024
13:00 Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu Analysis →
14:00 Gangwon vs Suwon City Analysis →