Gwangju 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.68
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
10%
7.31
X/X
15%
4.6
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
5.64
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
0.99/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.35
-8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
24.0 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.56 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
256 Passes 333
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
25.10.2020 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
15.09.2020 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
23.05.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
22.10.2017 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
16.09.2017 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-2 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
2-0
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
428 Passes 255
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju saw off Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Gwangju made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gwangju had 66% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 34%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gwangju and 1.33 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Gwangju 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gwangju win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 39%, draw 28%, Gimcheon Sangmu 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gwangju), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gwangju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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