FC Seoul 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.53
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.45
X/2
14%
5.73
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
3.78
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 39%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.29/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.12
-35% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
15.0 Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.07
49% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 Passes 405
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
03.04.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 5-1 HT 4-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
12.10.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
15.08.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
28.05.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
06.03.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
1-0
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
324 Passes 434
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul squeezed past Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; FC Seoul found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 43% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 57%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Seoul and 1.17 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

FC Seoul 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 38%, draw 25%, Gimcheon Sangmu 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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