Incheon United 1-4 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.19
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
19%
5.95
X/2
16%
5.18
X/X
14%
4.33
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
14%
3.45
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Suwon City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
431 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 3-1 HT 2-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.03.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
25.08.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
08.07.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 2-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
22.04.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-2 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
03.08.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-4
AWAY Suwon City
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
540 Passes 302
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City ran out comfortable winners over Incheon United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Suwon City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 63% of the ball to Suwon City's 37%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Incheon United and 1.67 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Suwon City?

Incheon United 1-4 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 38%, draw 27%, Suwon City 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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