Daegu 3-2 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 11 May 2024

Daegu
3-2 HT 2-2
Gwangju
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Daegu vs Gwangju Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.19
6+ Goals
11%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.42
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
10%
5.96
X/2
11%
4.96
X/X
15%
4.12
2/1
15%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.42
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Daegu v Gwangju — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.28/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.18
-12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.8 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Daegu vs Gwangju Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 0.36
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
252 Passes 472
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 4
32 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
11.11.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
15.07.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOR
13.05.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
16.04.2023 Daegu Daegu 3-4 HT 0-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
20.08.2021 Daegu Daegu 1-2 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK

Daegu 3-2 Gwangju — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
3-2
AWAY Gwangju
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
284 Passes 409
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu squeezed past Gwangju 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Daegu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Daegu had 38% of the ball to Gwangju's 62%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Daegu and 1.50 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Gwangju?

Daegu 3-2 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Daegu 36%, draw 32%, Gwangju 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daegu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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