Gangwon 3-3 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.2
6+ Goals
11%
20.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 32% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.27
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.84
X/2
11%
6.28
X/X
17%
4.08
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.72
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.31/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.32
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
17.1 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.92 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
361 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 32
27 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.11.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
01.10.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
07.06.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
26.02.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
12.12.2021 Gangwon Gangwon 4-1 HT 3-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
3-3
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon and Daejeon Citizen shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gangwon had 51% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 49%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gangwon and 1.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gangwon 3-3 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 38%, draw 30%, Daejeon Citizen 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
11 May 2024
10:30 Incheon United vs FC Seoul Analysis →
13:00 Daegu vs Gwangju Analysis →