FK Panevezys 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 23%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.39/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.20
+63% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 3-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
02.03.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
12.11.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
19.08.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
11.06.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 4-0 HT 2-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
19.04.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
1-0
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys squeezed past Dziugas Telsiai 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Panevezys as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 59% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 41%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.50 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai?

FK Panevezys 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 48%, draw 24%, Dziugas Telsiai 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ BTTS No
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