Portimonense vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portimonense v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals
Portimonense vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Sporting CP
POR
1-1
HT 0-0
Sporting CP
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Sporting CP
POR
4-0
HT 2-0
Portimonense
POR
2-3
HT 2-1
Sporting CP
POR
Portimonense 1-2 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP nicked a narrow win over Portimonense 2-1 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Portimonense had 26% of the ball to Sporting CP's 74%, shots finished 4-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Portimonense and 2.33 for Sporting CP.
What was the final score of Portimonense vs Sporting CP?
Portimonense 1-2 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Cup on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Sporting CP?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 18%, draw 19%, Sporting CP 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.