Sporting CP 3-0 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
4.67
Over 2.5
65%
1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
11.7
2-3 Goals
34%
2.73
4-5 Goals
30%
2.29
6+ Goals
19%
3.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.15
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
34.5
X/1
21%
3.53
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
5%
24.0
2/1
12%
18.85
2/2
4%
31.0
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-14.2pp
17%
Draw
8%
+8.4pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
18%
+17.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
82%
-17.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
2.38/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.45
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
23.8 Crosses 12.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Portimonense
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.70 xG 0.53
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
536 Passes 209
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.12.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
25.07.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP HAZ
04.03.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
10.09.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-0 HT 2-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
07.05.2022 Portimonense Portimonense 2-3 HT 2-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
30.12.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-2 HT 0-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
3-0
AWAY Portimonense
3.64 xG 0.05
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 0
15 Corners 1
532 Passes 243
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
45 Box Touches 6
29 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP cruised past Portimonense 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP had 67% of the ball to Portimonense's 33%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 3.64 to 0.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting CP and 1.00 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Portimonense?

Sporting CP 3-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 71%, draw 17%, Portimonense 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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