Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rio Ave v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
1-3
HT 0-2
Rio Ave
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
1-2
HT 0-2
Rio Ave
POR
Rio Ave 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Rio Ave squeezed past Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Rio Ave made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rio Ave had 43% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 57%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.31 to 0.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vitoria Guimaraes.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rio Ave and 0.67 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Rio Ave 2-1 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 34%, draw 27%, Vitoria Guimaraes 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.