Boavista 1-1 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 May 2024

Boavista
1-1 HT 1-1
Gil Vicente
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Boavista vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 33% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.95
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
9%
5.51
X/2
13%
5.55
X/X
9%
3.81
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.99
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boavista v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -26%
1.39/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.32
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.2 Crosses 18.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Boavista vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gil Vicente
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
284 Passes 406
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
12.05.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 3-1 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
08.01.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
15.01.2022 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
09.08.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 3-0 HT 2-0 Boavista Boavista POR
19.05.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR

Boavista 1-1 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
1-1
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.20 xG 1.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
396 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boavista and Gil Vicente couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Boavista had 54% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 46%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.20 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boavista and 1.50 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Gil Vicente?

Boavista 1-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boavista win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boavista 39%, draw 26%, Gil Vicente 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boavista), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boavista) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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