Chaves 0-3 Porto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 May 2024

Chaves
0-3 HT 0-2
Porto
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Chaves vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
57%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.39
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
15.95
1/2
6%
21.85
1/X
7%
23.15
X/1
6%
21.25
X/2
18%
3.51
X/X
8%
8.47
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.46
2/X
7%
23.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+11.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.6pp
57%
Away Win
73%
-15.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Porto — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto EU Bookmakers 77%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.05/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.82
+18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +20%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.4
17.4 Crosses 19.5
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Chaves vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Porto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.04 xG 2.26
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
212 Passes 448
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.12.2023 Porto Porto 1-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
04.03.2023 Chaves Chaves 1-3 HT 0-2 Porto Porto POR
08.12.2022 Chaves Chaves 0-2 HT 0-0 Porto Porto PRLK
10.09.2022 Porto Porto 3-0 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR
22.12.2019 Chaves Chaves 2-4 HT 0-3 Porto Porto PORLC
18.01.2019 Chaves Chaves 1-4 HT 0-2 Porto Porto POR

Chaves 0-3 Porto — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
0-3
AWAY Porto
0.31 xG 2.59
26% Ball Possession 74%
4 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
168 Passes 623
75% Pass Accuracy 90%
4 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Porto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto ran out comfortable winners over Chaves 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chaves had 26% of the ball to Porto's 74%, shots finished 4-10, expected goals 0.31 to 2.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chaves and 2.83 for Porto.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Porto?

Chaves 0-3 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Porto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chaves 21%, draw 22%, Porto 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Over 2.5
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