Kızılyıldız 5-1 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
4.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.4pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.1pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.77/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.22
+33% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
450 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
47.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
29.0 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.61 xG 0.78
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
469 Passes 194
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-2 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
06.12.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-0 HT 5-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRBK
30.09.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
23.10.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-2 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
10.07.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-0 HT 3-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
07.05.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 3-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
5-1
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.16 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
377 Passes 383
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 20
4 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız ran out comfortable winners over Radnicki Nis 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 50% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.16 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.33 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki Nis?

Kızılyıldız 5-1 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 67%, draw 19%, Radnicki Nis 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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