Backa Topola 0-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
2.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.16
+37% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.1 Crosses 18.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.11 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
361 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-3 HT 3-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
09.12.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.08.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.05.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-4 HT 1-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
02.03.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-2 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
31.08.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
0-2
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac got the better of Backa Topola 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Backa Topola had 55% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 45%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Backa Topola and 0.67 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Backa Topola 0-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 52%, draw 23%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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