Backa Topola 4-3 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 May 2024

Backa Topola
4-3 HT 3-0
Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
📅08/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2023/2024

Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Backa Topola v Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.61/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.12
-5% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
22.6 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2

Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.84 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
362 Passes 255
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.08.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.05.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-4 HT 1-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
02.03.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-2 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
31.08.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
11.12.2021 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-3 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP

Backa Topola 4-3 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
4-3
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3.64 xG 2.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola edged past Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Backa Topola had 48% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 52%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 3.64 to 2.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Backa Topola's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Backa Topola and 0.17 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Backa Topola 4-3 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 44%, draw 33%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 23%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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