Mladost Lucani 0-1 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
59%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+10.6pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
59%
Away Win
76%
-16.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 80%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
0.90/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.66
+32% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.1
14.9 Crosses 24.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.64 xG 2.66
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
174 Passes 445
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 51
13 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 1-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
11.08.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-4 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
06.11.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
24.07.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
21.11.2021 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-5 HT 1-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
24.07.2021 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
0-1
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.42 xG 1.81
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 14
202 Passes 532
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 43
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız squeezed past Mladost Lucani 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 31% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 69%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.42 to 1.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mladost Lucani and 2.83 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Kızılyıldız?

Mladost Lucani 0-1 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 21%, draw 20%, Kızılyıldız 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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