Napredak Krusevac 3-3 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 May 2024

Napredak Krusevac
3-3 HT 2-1
FK Partizan
📅08/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2023/2024

Napredak Krusevac vs FK Partizan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
60%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.9pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
60%
Away Win
73%
-12.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napredak Krusevac v FK Partizan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 77%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
0.71/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.82
-51% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.7
16.7 Crosses 17.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Napredak Krusevac vs FK Partizan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.46 xG 1.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
220 Passes 367
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 46
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.03.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.10.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
05.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
20.10.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.05.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
13.03.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP

Napredak Krusevac 3-3 FK Partizan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
3-3
AWAY FK Partizan
0.98 xG 3.94
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 15
3 Corners 8
161 Passes 485
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 59
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac and FK Partizan shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FK Partizan at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 31% of the ball to FK Partizan's 69%, shots finished 10-28, expected goals 0.98 to 3.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.17 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs FK Partizan?

Napredak Krusevac 3-3 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 20%, draw 20%, FK Partizan 60%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Partizan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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