Al Khaleej 0-3 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.4 — our 32% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
20%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
53%
Away Win
59%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 62%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
0.68/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.03
-66% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
19.8 Crosses 23.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.66 xG 1.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
227 Passes 375
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
17.08.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
04.03.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
27.08.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
28.02.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
13.09.2014 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
0-3
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.69 xG 2.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
318 Passes 329
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah swept aside Al Khaleej 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 50% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 50%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.69 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Khaleej and 2.17 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Khaleej 0-3 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 23%, draw 25%, Al Ahli Jeddah 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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