Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
59%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
8%
+10.4pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
59%
Away Win
75%
-16.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.1pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 79%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.72/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.69
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-2 HT 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
27.08.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-2 HT 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
28.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-3 HT 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
19.10.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
07.11.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-3 HT 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
21.08.2020 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
POST-MATCH Kolos Kovalivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk edged past Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 2.83 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolos Kovalivka vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kolos Kovalivka 18%, draw 23%, Shakhtar Donetsk 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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