Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plymouth Argyle v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals
Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 0-3
AFC Wimbledon
İNTK
2-0
HT 1-0
AFC Wimbledon
İN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
AFC Wimbledon
İN1
4-4
HT 1-2
Plymouth Argyle
İN1
0-2
HT 0-2
Plymouth Argyle
HAZ
Plymouth Argyle 1-2 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics
AFC Wimbledon edged past Plymouth Argyle 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Argyle at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 64% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 36%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.69 to 0.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.17 for AFC Wimbledon.
What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon?
Plymouth Argyle 1-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 46%, draw 24%, AFC Wimbledon 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.