Burton Albion 0-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.39
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
10%
5.43
X/2
15%
6.13
X/X
10%
4.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.09
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.13/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.29
-16% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
211 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.7 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.16 xG 1.99
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
193 Passes 510
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.01.2025 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-2 HT 2-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
04.12.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
09.03.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-3 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
25.11.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 4-0 HT 2-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
14.03.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-5 HT 1-3 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
08.10.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-1
AWAY Peterborough United
1.06 xG 0.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
290 Passes 193
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
42 Box Touches 6
31 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United squeezed past Burton Albion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Peterborough United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burton Albion had 59% of the ball to Peterborough United's 41%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.06 to 0.48 — on chances, Burton Albion could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Burton Albion and 2.50 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Peterborough United?

Burton Albion 0-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 37%, draw 25%, Peterborough United 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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