Stoke City 1-0 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 18 Oct 2025

Stoke City
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Wrexham
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Stoke City vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.85
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.74
No
47%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.1
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.59
6+
5%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.84
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.73
X/2
10%
7.15
X/X
17%
4.65
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.37
2/X
5%
14.1
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Stoke City v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Stoke City The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham The Market 31%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.53 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3

Stoke City vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Wrexham
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
17.07.2019 Wrexham Wrexham 1-3 HT 1-1 Stoke City Stoke City HAZ
04.01.2015 Stoke City Stoke City 3-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham FAK
13.04.2002 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
24.11.2001 Wrexham Wrexham 0-1 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İN1
21.04.2001 Stoke City Stoke City 3-1 HT 2-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
04.11.2000 Wrexham Wrexham 1-2 HT 0-2 Stoke City Stoke City İN1

Stoke City 1-0 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
1 - 0
AWAY Wrexham
0.61 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 Passes 331
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Stoke City vs Wrexham
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stoke City squeezed past Wrexham 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Stoke City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Stoke City had 56% of the ball to Wrexham's 44%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.61 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stoke City and 0.67 for Wrexham.

Stoke City vs Wrexham Result & Final Score

Stoke City 1 - 0 Wrexham in the England - Championship on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stoke City vs Wrexham Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 47%, draw 27%, Wrexham 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stoke City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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