Nacka Iliria 2-4 FC Gute — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
36%
4.08
Away
20%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
35%
Draw
21%
+14.0pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.0pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gute EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
2.23/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.93
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacka Iliria
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Gute
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
18.04.2025 FC Gute FC Gute 0-5 HT 0-1 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs FC Gute
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gute saw off Nacka Iliria 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nacka Iliria at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs FC Gute?

Nacka Iliria 2-4 FC Gute in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs FC Gute?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 44%, draw 35%, FC Gute 20%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacka Iliria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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