Nürnberg (K) 3-2 Freiburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 18 Oct 2025

Nürnberg (K)
3-2 HT 2-0
Freiburg (K)
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Nürnberg (K) vs Freiburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
52%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-3.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg (K) v Freiburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.07/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.12
-53% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
6.7 Crosses 24.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Nürnberg (K) vs Freiburg (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Freiburg (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.13 xG 1.58
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
104 Passes 335
44% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 41
3 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Nürnberg (K) Nürnberg (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB

Nürnberg (K) 3-2 Freiburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg (K)
3-2
AWAY Freiburg (K)
0.92 xG 2.07
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
105 Passes 502
53% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 47
4 Crosses 42
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg (K) vs Freiburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg (K) nicked a narrow win over Freiburg (K) 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Nürnberg (K) had 26% of the ball to Freiburg (K)'s 74%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 0.92 to 2.07 — the balance of chances actually favoured Freiburg (K).

What was the final score of Nürnberg (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Nürnberg (K) 3-2 Freiburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg (K) vs Freiburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg (K) 24%, draw 24%, Freiburg (K) 52%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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